Category Archives: Crypto

8,000X VC return on Coinbase: From US$300,000 to US$2.4 billion

Source: Twitter, Apr 2021

8,000X



Related Resources:

Initialized, Dec 2020

Coinbase of course did end up raising a $5M Series A from Fred Wilson at Union Square Ventures, with a quick follow-on $25M Series B from Chris Dixon at Andreessen Horowitz by the end of the very same year.

CNBC, Apr 2021

Coinbase opened at $381 a share, giving the cryptocurrency exchange a market cap of around $100 billion, based on a fully-diluted share count. By the close, the stock had traded down to $328.28 for a valuation of $85.8 billion. That’s up more than 10-fold from the company’s last private fundraising in 2018 and over 4,000-fold from the Union Square-led round eight years ago.

COINBASE SHARE PRICES

ROUND  YEAR  SHARE PRICE
SERIES A 2013 20 cents
SERIES B 2013 $1
SERIES C 2015 $2.76
SERIES D 2017 $8.25
SERIES E 2018 $36.19
SECONDARY TRADES 2020 $28.83
SECONDARY TRADES 2021 $343.58
NASDAQ DEBUT 2021 $381

Blockchain: new technology for transferring value.

Source: CZ/Twitter, Jun 2022

FOMO : Superbowl Crypto Ads

Source: Verge, Feb 2022

the commercials focused almost exclusively on exchanges and the most basic aspect of ways to more easily invest in cryptocurrency. There were no ads shilling NFT drops, no Bored Ape appearances during the halftime show, or even a mention of the NFL’s commemorative NFTs for the big game.

crypto’s big mainstream pitch was a flashy, celebrity-studded entryway to get new buyers into the blockchain hype wheel.

The biggest Super Bowl crypto players were just promoting the idea of cryptocurrency in general, telling viewers that now is the time to buy into blockchain, offering free deposits of Bitcoin for signing up, and pushing the narrative that not getting on board with crypto would mean missing out on the next big thing.

none of the commercials here mentioned the quiet part of how cryptocurrency works: more buy-in from new customers means prices will continue to rise for cryptocurrencies, making existing crypto believers (and the companies like Crypto.com or FTX that facilitate those sales) more wealthy in a way that starts to look a little like a towering pyramid scheme dressed up in the veneer of “the future of the internet.”

At Super Bowl LVI, cryptocurrency promises an ouroboros of nothingness: it’s the future because it’s the future, and if you miss out, you won’t be part of it. 

NFTs: Valueless?

Source: Gawker, Dec 2021

NFTs, or non-fungible tokens, are a different application of the blockchain technology on which cryptocurrency operates: basically, the seller of the NFT’ed image generates a token corresponding to it that only one person can own at any time — the same way only one person can own a given Bitcoin, i.e. symbolically but also reliably due to its documentation on a transaction record (the blockchain) that is not kept on a single server but rather distributed across all peers participating in the blockchain protocol.

The idea is to create conditions of scarcity and therefore ownership for digital images, so that even though people can still copy your picture of a badass skull guy and paste it somewhere for their own purposes, as I have done, you “own” the image in the sense that you have an incontrovertible claim to having paid money for it, and later you can sell that claim to someone else who regards it as meaningful and important for, presumably, profit.

That’s how NFT ownership works: anyone can copy-paste your house, but your name is on the deed, and the metaphorical hall of records can’t burn down or whatever because everyone has copies of the records on a peer-to-peer network they can access via their home computer …

this is why the future, be it NFTs or Memoji or the howling existential horror of the Metaverse, looks so ugly and boring: it reflects the stunted inner lives of the finance and technology professionals who produced it.

As the visual manifestation of cryptocurrency, NFT art combines the nuanced social awareness of computer programmers with the soulful whimsy of hedge fund managers. It is art for people whose imaginations have been absolutely captured by a new kind of money you can do on the computer.

It is also obviously a pyramid scheme, in which the need for a salable commodity is imperative and endlessly renewed, but the commodity itself does not matter because it is useless — not even useless the way all art is useless, because you can get the images and whatever grains of nourishment your hungry little soul might find in them for free, but useless the way a canceled stamp is useless, useless like a receipt or an envelope that has been torn open.

NFTs are an occasion for commerce masquerading as art, just as so many ostensibly meaningful experiences of the 21st century turn out to be occasions to spend money masquerading as life.

 

Talent Drive @ Crypto Companies

Source: NYTimes, Dec 2021

Ms. Carter is part of a wave of executives and engineers leaving cushy jobs at Google, Amazon, Apple and other large tech companies — some of which pay millions of dollars in annual compensation — to chase what they see as a once-in-a-generation opportunity.

That next big thing is crypto, they said, a catchall designation that includes digital currencies like Bitcoin and products like nonfungible tokens, or NFTs, that rely on the blockchain.

a growing contingent of the tech industry’s best and brightest sees a transformational moment that comes along once every few decades and rewards those who spot the seismic shift before the rest of the world.

With crypto, they see historical parallels to how the personal computer and the internet were once ridiculed, only to upend the status quo and mint a new generation of billionaires.

Unlike Meta, which has embraced crypto, Google has been reluctant to jump into the movement. But Google employees saw crypto’s opportunities firsthand when Surojit Chatterjee, a vice president, left the company last year to become the chief product officer of Coinbase, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges.

When Coinbase went public in April, Mr. Chatterjee’s stake in the company soared to more than $600 million in value. He had worked there for just 14 months.

Those leaving behind a Big Tech salary do not have to wait as long for a payoff at a crypto start-up as those at traditional tech start-ups.

While employees generally accept a smaller salary at tech start-ups in the hope that the company’s stock will hit it big one day, workers at crypto start-ups are provided “liquidity,” or the ability to cash out their shares, much earlier. Often, they can do so in the form of trading their company’s cryptocurrencies, according to Dan McCarthy, a recruiter for the investment firm Paradigm who has written on the potential upsides of crypto start-ups for tech workers.

In some cases, crypto start-ups offer compensation packages on a par with the biggest tech firms because of how easily employees can convert their company’s “tokens” — or the underlying cryptocurrency backing the start-up — into cash.

What are NFTs?

Source: Visual Capitalist, Dec 2021

Image

Visual Guide to the Blockchain Ecosystem

Converts to Crypto

Source: Quartz, Nov 2021
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What changed your perspective on blockchain’s potential?

The reframing of crypto → Web3 hit home with me. Going from crypto: money is the primitive to Web3: people are the primitive. The big unlock for me was seeing past the hyper-financialized use cases today and engaging with a future where our contributions and collections are tied to us, instead of one where our contributions are the platform’s, not ours.

Tyler Cowen, GMU economist

What changed your perspective on blockchain’s potential?

A few things. First, in decentralized finance (DeFi) I began to see viable and important use cases. Superior returns for depositors might now drive broader crypto adoption.

… have seen incredible energy and vitality in the crypto community. Many of the best discussions are held there, it attracts amazing talent, and the conversations are overwhelmingly positive. All big pluses and signs of a movement that is going somewhere.

NFTs, not only for the art world but also as a new system of property rights for the metaverse, and as a new method of fundraising.

Kyle Weiss, COO, Gitcoin

What changed your perspective on blockchain’s potential?

When I worked at Twitter before joining Gitcoin, I became obsessed with the way token economics could shape not only user behavior, but how the right user incentives could unlock so much for the world in general.

Meral Arik, Passage Protocol

What projects or trends in crypto are you most excited about right now?

Meral: I am personally excited about the growth of crypto communities such as DAOs, social tokens, and NFT communities.

These communities are creating new ways of rewarding and incentivizing people— e.g. members can contribute to the community, be rewarded for their work (in tokens and/or US Dollar Coin), and share in the upside as the community continues to grow and become more valuable (similar to having equity in a company). Looking ahead, I can tell that this is going to have a significant impact on the future of work.

A Global Fiat Currency: “One Ring to Rule Them All”

Source: MisesWire, Sep 2021

From Mises’s point of view, human history can be understood as a battle of good ideas against bad ideas.

Ideas are good if the actions they recommend bring results that are beneficial for everyone and lead the actors to their desired goals;

At the same time, good ideas are ethically justifiable, they apply to everyone, anytime and anywhere, and ensure that people who act upon them can survive.

… bad ideas lead to actions that do not benefit everyone, that do not cause all actors to achieve their goals and/or are unethical.

Good ideas are, for example, people accepting “mine and yours”; or entering into exchange relationships with one another voluntarily. Bad ideas are coercion, deception, embezzlement, theft.

Evil ideas are very bad ideas, ideas through which whoever puts them into practice is consciously harming others. Evil ideas are, for example, physical attacks, murder, tyranny.

2.

With Lord of the Rings, J. J. R. Tolkien (1892–1973) wrote a literary monument about the epic battle between good and evil. His fantasy novel, published in 1954, was a worldwide success, not least because of the movie trilogy, released from 2001 to 2003.

In Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings, nine men, all of them kings, wished to wield power, and so they became bearers of the rings, and because of that, they were inescapably bound to Sauron’s One Ring of power.

This is quite similar to the idea of the state. To seize, maintain, and expand power, the state seduces its followers to do what is necessary, to resort to all sorts of techniques: propaganda, carrot and stick, fear, and even terror.

The state lets the people know that it is good, indispensable, inevitable. Without it, the state whispers, a civilized coexistence of people would not be possible.

Most people succumb to this kind of propaganda, and the state gets carte blanche to effectively infiltrate all economic and societal matters—kindergarten, school, university, transport, media, health, pensions, law, security, money and credit, the environment—and thereby gains power.

The state rewards its followers with jobs, rewarding business contracts, and transfer payments. Those who resist will end up in prison or lose their livelihood or even their lives.

The state spreads fear and terror to make people compliant—as people who are afraid are easy to control, especially if they have been led to believe that the state will protect them against any evil.

ideas that determine people’s actions.

The task of winning over the general public for the state traditionally falls to the so-called intellectuals—the people whose opinions are widely heard, such as teachers, doctors, university professors, researchers, actors, comedians, musicians, writers, journalists, and others.

The state provides a critical number of them with income, influence, prestige, and status in a variety of ways—which most of them would not have been able to achieve without the state. In gratitude for this, the intellectuals spread the message that the state is good, indispensable, inevitable.

Among the intellectuals, there tend to be quite a few who willingly submit to the rings of power, helping—consciously or unconsciouslyto bring their fellow men and women under the spell of the rings or simply to walk over, subjugate, dominate them.

Anyone who thinks that the state (as we know it today) is acceptable, a justifiable solution, as long as it does not exceed certain power limits, is seriously mistaken.

Just as the One Ring of power tries to find its way back to its lord and master, an initially limited state inevitably strives towards its logical endpoint: absolute power.

The state (as we know it today) is pushing for expansion both internally and externally. This is a well-known fact derived from the logic of human action.

George Orwell put it succinctly: “The object of power is power.”4 Or, as Hans-Hermann Hoppe nails it, “[E]very minimal government has the inherent tendency to become a maximal government.”5

Inwardly, the state is expanding through all sorts of interventions in economic and social life, through regulations, ordinances, laws, and taxes.

Outwardly, the economically and militarily strongest state will seek to expand its sphere of influence. In the most primitive form, this happens through aggressive campaigns of conquest and war, in a more sophisticated form, by pursuing political ideological supremacy.

The issue of digital central bank money, something the world’s major central banks are working on, could be a catalyst in the creation of a single world currency.

The issue of digital central bank money not only heralds the end of cash—the anonymous payment option for citizens and entrepreneurs.

Once people start using digital central bank money, it will be easy for the central bank and the state to spy on people’s transactions.

The state will not only know who pays what, when, where, and what for. It will also be in a position to determine who gets access to the deposits: who gets them and who doesn’t.

China is blazing the trail with its “social credit system”: behavior conforming to the Communist regime is rewarded, behavior that does not is punished.

Against this backdrop, digital central bank money would be particularly effective at stifling unwanted political opposition.

Digital central bank money will not only replace cash, but it will also increasingly compete with money from commercial banks.

Why should you keep your money with banks that are exposed to the risk of default when you can keep it safe with the central bank that never goes bankrupt?

Once commercial bank deposits can be exchanged one to one for digital central bank money—and this is to be expected—the credit and monetary system is de facto fully nationalized.

Because under these conditions, the central bank transfers its unlimited solvency to the commercial banking sector.

This completely deprives the financial markets of their function of determining the cost of capital—and the state-planned economy becomes a reality.

It is therefore the incentive resulting from a single world currency that paves the way toward a world government and a world state.

In this context, please note what happened in the euro area: the starting point was not the creation of the EU superstate, which was to be followed by the introduction of the euro. It was exactly the opposite: the euro was introduced to overcome national sovereignty and ultimately establish the United Nations of Europe.

In Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings, evil is eventually defeated. The story has a happy ending. Will it be that easy in our world?

Those who believe in Jesus Christ can trust that God will not fail them. If we cannot think of a solution to the problems at hand, the believers can trust God. Because “[e]ven in the darkest night, there is a bright light shining somewhere.”

Or: please remember the Enlightenment movement in the eighteenth century. At that time, the Prussian philosopher Immanuel Kant explained the “unheard of” to the people, namely that there is such a thing as “autonomy of reason.”

It means that you and I have the indisputable right to lead our lives independently; that we should handle it according to self-imposed rules, rules that we determine ourselves based on good reason.

People back then understood Kant’s message. Why should such an intellectual revolution—triggered by the writings and words of a free thinker—not be able to repeat itself in the future?

Or: the fact that people have not yet learned from bad experience does not mean that they won’t eventually learn from it.

When it comes to thinking about changes for the better, it is important to note that it is not the mass of people that matters, but the individual.

Applied to the conditions in today’s world, among those thinkers who can defeat evil and help the good make a breakthrough are Ludwig von Mises, Murray Rothbard, and Hans-Hermann Hoppe—and all those following their teachings and fearlessly disseminating them—as scholars or as fans.

They are—in terms of Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings—the companions. They give us the intellectual firepower and the courage to fight and defeat evil.

I don’t know if Ludwig von Mises knew Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings. But he was certainly well aware of the struggle between good and evil that continues throughout human history.

In fact, the knowledge of this struggle shaped Mises’s maxim of life, which he took from the verse of the Roman poet Virgil (70 to 19 BC):

“Tu ne cede malis, sed contra audentior ito,” which means “Do not give in to evil but proceed ever more boldly against it.”

I want to close my interpretation with a quote from Samwise Gamgee, the loyal friend and companion of Frodo Baggins.

In a really hopeless situation, Sam says to Frodo: “There is something good in this world, Mr. Frodo. And it’s worth fighting for.”

So if we want to fight for the good in this world, we know what we have to do: we have to fight for property and freedom and against the darkness that the state (as we know it today) wishes to bring upon us, especially with its fiat money.

In fact, we must fight steadfastly for a society of property and freedom!

 

Crypto: Innovation for a Purpose vs. Innovation for Innovation’s Sake

Source: OCC, Sep 2021

Innovation that is guided by clear purpose can bring enormous benefits

Innovation is exciting because it often begins with trying to solve an intractable problem and, in doing so, unlocking great potential.

Morning Consult did a poll focused on the unbanked and underbanked. When asked “Do you own a cryptocurrency?”,

  • 10 percent of the fully banked answered yes, while
  • 12 percent of the unbanked and
  • 37 percent of the underbanked answered yes.7

A Harris poll several weeks later asked the same question, with answers publicized by race:

  • 13 percent of whites,
  • 18 percent of African Americans, and
  • 20 percent of Hispanics reportedly own crypto.8

To the extent there is fool’s gold in the crypto space, some of those who are going to be hurt most are going to be those least able to bear it.

My hypothesis is that until recently, most users have been hardcore believers in the technology and thus are both understanding of the risks and willing to forgive them.

As the scope and reach of crypto/DeFi expands, though, more mainstream users, with regular expectations of safe and sound money, will dominate and drive reactions. As every financial advisor says, “Past performance is not
indicative of future results.”

I believe there are three lessons in particular that would be wise to apply today:

First, financial innovation should be anchored in purpose.

Be clear about the “why” – not just clear about the problem that needs to be solved, but also why it is important to solve it. Just because something can be innovated, doesn’t mean it should.

Second, speak up.

One of the most interesting parts of Tett’s book is her analysis of the “social silence” around derivatives, which suppressed scrutiny, debate, and common sense. The situation was akin to that of the European medieval church: although almost nobody in the congregation really understood the financial Latin in which the service was being conducted, few rebelled, because they were receiving blessings. The congregation was mystified, but it accepted that the priests were the keepers of the faith.12

Not all are mystified and silent, of course. Some have raised difficult and inconvenient questions. For instance: What differentiates the core blockchain developers from fiduciaries in banking?13 Why isn’t miner extractable value seen as front-running?14

Others have pointed out that “trustless” and “immutable” are false descriptors of blockchains and that much more thought needs to be dedicated to clarifying blockchain governance and crypto law in order for the technology to succeed and thrive in the long term.15

Such voices and questions may slow growth and profits in the short term, but will help ensure better and more sustained innovation in the long term.

Third, follow the money.